Politics Total terrorism death toll 70% . Total malarial death toll > 350,000. 90% . Total malarial death toll 80% . No terrorist attack causes >100 deaths in the developed world (HDI > 0.8): 80% No terrorist attack causes >500 deaths in the less developed world: 70%. No terrorist attack outside of Iraq and Syria causes >300 deaths: 55%. No country will leave the Eurozone. 80% Fewer refugees admitted to European countries in 2017 than 2016. 80% Front National will gain 30+ seats in the French legislative election. 80% Le Pen will lose the presidential election. 55% Front National will not end up in power. 80% Partij voor de Vrijheid will gain 5+ seats in the Dutch election. 70% PVV will not end up in power. 80% . Alternative für Deutschland will gain 40+ seats in the German election. 70% AfD will not end up in power 70% . No second Scottish independence referendum announced. 80% There will be no formal agreement on UK membership of the common market, p...